Mobile Menu

Hydro-Electricity Generation in New Zealand - Market Research Report (2014-2029)

Jack Fahey Jack Fahey Melbourne, Australia Last Updated: June 2024 ANZSIC D2612NZ

Revenue

$4.4bn

2024-25

$4.4bn

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

$XXX.Xm

Employees

3,065

Businesses

21

Wages

$XXX.Xm

Hydro-Electricity Generation in New Zealand industry analysis

Hydroelectricity is New Zealand's main power source. In recent years, hydro generators have contended with unreliable rainfall levels weighing on output. This coincided with restricted gas supplies, forcing coal-fired generators to deliver more electricity and fill gaps in supply. The Russia-Ukraine conflict has also pushed up commodity prices – making it more expensive to run these coal-fired plants. These factors were a perfect storm for hydro generators, which saw a sharp rise in both revenue and profit because hydro generators were not exposed to high input costs from fossil fuels. Revenue is expected to balloon 7.9% over the past five years, with a 16.2% rise in 2024-25, to hit $4.4 billion. Revenue and profit are highly reliant on rising prices in the wholesale market, which is expected to drive solid growth in the current year. 

Trends and Insights

  • Wholesale prices skyrocketed in 2020-21 and 2021-22. Low hydro lake levels, gas supply issues and ballooning input costs have caused wholesale prices to jump and revenue to surge.
  • Hydro keeps homes and businesses afloat. Hydro-electricity is New Zealand’s number one electricity source, providing over half the country’s electricity mix.
  • The South Island is hydro’s natural home. Large-scale hydro power stations are concentrated in the South Island, because of its water resources.
  • Hydro generators adopt vertical integration. By operating as generators and retailers, firms can maximise their scale and control both ends of the electricity supply chain.

Access hundreds of analysis and data

  • Market estimates from 2014-2029
  • Critical performance data and rankings
  • Detailed analysis of competitive forces and the external environment
  • PDF report or online database with Word, Excel and PowerPoint export options
  • 100% money back guarantee

Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2014-2029)

Industry revenue has grown at a CAGR of 7.9 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $4.4bn in 2024.

Trends and Insights

Supply issues and input costs have uplifted wholesale prices

  • Wholesale markets have faced a tight gas supply, low hydro levels and soaring commodity prices.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Hydro-Electricity Generation in New Zealand
Revenue (2014-2029)
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry outlook (2024-2029)

Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

The energy transition speeds up as fossil fuels fall out of favour

  • The Central Government (Te Kawanatanga o Aotearoa) is aiming to source 100.0% of electricity from renewable sources by 2030. In the December 2023 quarter, renewables accounted for over 90% of New Zealand's electricity.

Biggest companies in the Hydro-Electricity Generation in New Zealand

Company
Market Share (%)
2025
Revenue ($m)
2025
Meridian Energy
1,982.2
Mercury NZ
926.2
Contact Energy
607.4

To view the market share and analysis for all 5 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.

Products & Services Segmentation

Hydro-Electricity Generation in New Zealand
Products & Services
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Electricity. Electricity is the largest segment of the Hydro-Electricity Generation in New Zealand.

Trends and Insights

Hydro generators provide a vital electricity service

  • Hydro-electricity generation relies on a flow of water to spin turbines, which creates the energy needed to generate electricity. Over half of New Zealand's generated electricity is from hydro sources.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

Industry operators generate electricity through operating hydro-electric power plants. Operators that generate electricity through tidal energy are excluded from the industry.

What's included in this industry?

Hydro-electricity generation

Companies

Meridian EnergyMercury NZContact Energy

Purchase this report to view all 5 major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

CENTRALLY GENERATED ELECTRICITYBASE LOAD POWERPEAKING POWERGENTAILERSELECTRICITY MIXTERAWATT-HOUR (TWH)

Industry Code

ANZSIC 2006

ANZSIC 2612 - Hydro-Electricity Generation in New Zealand

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

Wholesale prices skyrocketed in 2020-21 and 2021-22. Low hydro lake levels, gas supply issues and ballooning input costs have caused wholesale prices to jump and revenue to s...

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Employees, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Businesses, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Profit, including historical (2014-2024)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

Hydro keeps homes and businesses afloat. Hydro-electricity is New Zealand’s number one electricity source, providing over half the country’s electricity mix.

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2024
  • Product innovation level

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2024
  • Major market segmentation in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

The South Island is hydro’s natural home. Large-scale hydro power stations are concentrated in the South Island, because of its water resources.

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each region
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2024

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each region in 2024
  • Number and share of revenue each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of wages each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of employees in each region in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across Asia Pacific, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

Hydro generators adopt vertical integration. By operating as generators and retailers, firms can maximise their scale and control both ends of the electricity supply chain.

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2019-2024
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

Generators battle variable weather conditions. Hydro generators have adjusted to drought and flood conditions, as output swings based on unstable catchments levels.

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2020 through 2024
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2024
  • Overview of Meridian Energy's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of Mercury NZ's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of Contact Energy's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of revenue, market share and profit margin trend for 2 additional companies

Detailed analysis

  • Description and key data for Meridian Energy, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Mercury NZ, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Contact Energy, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description, key data and performance trends for 2 additional companies

External Environment

Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

Analyst insights

Government schemes encourage renewable generation. The New Zealand Emissions Trading Scheme has established a market mechanism to cut emissions and transition to renewable so...

In this chapter

  • External Drivers
  • Regulation & Policy
  • Assistance

Key metrics

  • Regulation & policy level and trend
  • Assistance level and trend

Charts

  • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 
  • Assistance historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 

Detailed analysis

  • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
  • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
  • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

Financial Benchmarks

View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

Analyst insights

Wholesale prices support healthy profit margins. While rainfall and output have been rocky, high prices have widened hydro generators’ profit margins and deepened the industr...

In this chapter

  • Cost Structure
  • Financial Ratios
  • Key Ratios

Key metrics

  • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
  • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
  • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
  • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

Charts

  • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Investment vs. share of economy

Data tables

  • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Employee (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Establishment (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Average Wage (2014-2029)
  • Wages/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Establishments per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • IVA/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Imports/Demand (2014-2029)
  • Exports/Revenue (2014-2029)

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

Key Statistics

Industry Data

Data Tables

Including values and annual change:

  • Revenue (2014-2029)
  • IVA (2014-2029)
  • Establishments (2014-2029)
  • Enterprises (2014-2029)
  • Employment (2014-2029)
  • Exports (2014-2029)
  • Imports (2014-2029)
  • Wages (2014-2029)

Top Questions Answered

Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

What is the market size of the Hydro-Electricity Generation industry in New Zealand in 2024?

The market size of the Hydro-Electricity Generation industry in New Zealand is $4.4bn in 2024.

How many businesses are there in the Hydro-Electricity Generation in New Zealand industry in 2024?

There are 21 businesses in the Hydro-Electricity Generation industry in New Zealand, which has declined at a CAGR of 0.0 % between 2019 and 2024.

Has the Hydro-Electricity Generation industry in New Zealand grown or declined over the past 5 years?

The market size of the Hydro-Electricity Generation industry in New Zealand has been growing at a CAGR of 7.9 % between 2019 and 2024.

What is the forecast growth of the Hydro-Electricity Generation industry in New Zealand over the next 5 years?

Over the next five years, the Hydro-Electricity Generation industry in New Zealand is expected to grow.

What are the biggest companies in the Hydro-Electricity Generation market in New Zealand?

The biggest companies operating in the Hydro-Electricity Generation market in New Zealand are Meridian Energy, Mercury NZ and Contact Energy

What does the Hydro-Electricity Generation in New Zealand include?

Hydro-electricity generation and are part of the Hydro-Electricity Generation industry.

Which companies have the highest market share in the Hydro-Electricity Generation in New Zealand?

The company holding the most market share in New Zealand is Meridian Energy.

How competitive is the Hydro-Electricity Generation industry in New Zealand?

The level of competition is high and steady in the Hydro-Electricity Generation industry in New Zealand.

Related Industries

Widen your competitive advantage with related industries

Competitors

  • Fossil Fuel Electricity Generation in New Zealand
  • Geothermal, Wind and Other Electricity Generation in New Zealand

Complementors

  • Electricity Retailing in New Zealand

International industries

  • Hydroelectric Power in the US
  • Renewable Power in Canada
  • Hydro-Electricity Generation in Australia
  • Electricity Production in the UK
  • Renewable Electricity Generation in the UK

View all industries in New Zealand

Methodology

How are IBISWorld reports created?

IBISWorld has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.

Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for IBISWorld readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of IBISWorld’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.

IBISWorld relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

What data sources do IBISWorld analysts use?

Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

Key data sources in New Zealand include:

  • Statistics New Zealand
  • New Zealand Company Register
  • Ministry of Business, Innovation & Employment

Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

These sources include:

  • Industry and trade associations
  • Industry federations or regulators
  • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

Finally, IBISWorld’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

How does IBISWorld forecast its data?

IBISWorld’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.

IBISWorld prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.

Learn more about our methodology and data sourcing on the Help Center.