€18.2bn
€XXX.Xm
6,494
16
€X.Xbn
Since 2019, industry sales have fallen by an average of 3.5% per year. The steady decline in tobacco consumption has led to a reduction in the overall market for years, which is primarily driven by price increases as a result of tobacco tax hikes. For example, sales of cigarettes fell sharply in 2022 and 2023 due to further tobacco tax increases. However, a decline in demand was also observed for fine-cut tobacco, cigars and cigarillos in 2023. Inflation led to additional price increases for tobacco products and curbed tobacco consumption. Tobacco consumers turned to cheaper bulk packs, cheaper brands or tried to reduce their consumption. Industry companies also felt an increased cost burden as a result of higher energy prices. In addition, high investments were required to implement the mandatory track-and-trace system. The additional costs had a negative impact on the earnings situation of industry players.A decline in sales of 3% is expected for 2024, which means that industry sales are likely to total 18.2 billion euros. No tax increases are planned for tobacco products in 2024. However, the tax on liquids in e-cigarettes will continue to increase from 2024. As these are a competitive product in the industry, this development is likely to have a positive impact on the industry. Against the backdrop of far-reaching advertising bans, tax increases and bans on flavourings, tobacco product manufacturers are constantly faced with a large number of new regulations and restrictions. Politicians from the traffic light coalition are calling for additional advertising bans and an end to flavours in e-cigarettes. Those in favour of new tobacco advertising bans point to a supposed increase in the number of smokers, particularly among minors, as a result of the coronavirus crisis. However, these study results contrast with the significant decline in cigarette sales in recent years.For the period from 2024 to 2029, IBISWorld expects an average annual decline in turnover of 0.1% and industry turnover of 18.1 billion euros in 2029. The number of industry players is likely to fall slightly, as is the number of employees. The latter is due to technical progress and lower production volumes, which will reduce the need for production workers. Some smokers will be forced to give up smoking due to rising cigarette prices or switch to alternatives such as e-cigarettes. These are cheaper and supposedly less harmful to health, but will be taxed more heavily by 2026, just like smoking tobacco products.
Industry revenue has declined at a CAGR of 3.5 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated €18.2bn in 2024.
Market size is projected to decline over the next five years.
Company | Market Share (%)
2024 | Revenue (€m)
2024 |
---|---|---|
Philip Morris GmbH | 7,278.0 | |
Reemtsma Cigarettenfabriken GmbH | 4,544.2 | |
British American Tobacco (Germany) GmbH | 4,228.0 |
To view the market share and analysis for all 5 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.
Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Cigarettes, Water pipe tobacco, smoking tobacco and smoking tobacco made from tobacco substitutes and Cigars and cigarillos. Cigarettes is the largest segment of the Tobacco Product Manufacturing in Germany.
The cigarette segment is the largest product category despite the high regulatory burden
The industry includes the processing of tobacco leaves into various tobacco products such as cigarettes or cigars. The manufacture of products from tobacco substitutes and homogenised or reconstituted tobacco also falls under the industry definition. The cultivation of tobacco and the drying of tobacco leaves, on the other hand, are not part of the industry's activities.
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WZ 12.00 - Tobacco Product Manufacturing in Germany
Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.
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Including values and annual change:
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Key data sources in Germany include:
Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.
These sources include:
Finally, IBISWorld’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.
IBISWorld’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.
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The market size of the Tobacco Product Manufacturing industry in Germany is €18.2bn in 2024.
There are 16 businesses in the Tobacco Product Manufacturing industry in Germany, which has declined at a CAGR of 2.3 % between 2019 and 2024.
The market size of the Tobacco Product Manufacturing industry in Germany has been declining at a CAGR of 3.5 % between 2019 and 2024.
Over the next five years, the Tobacco Product Manufacturing industry in Germany is expected to decline.
The biggest companies operating in the Tobacco Product Manufacturing market in Germany are Philip Morris GmbH, Reemtsma Cigarettenfabriken GmbH and British American Tobacco (Germany) GmbH
Cigarettes and Water pipe tobacco, smoking tobacco and smoking tobacco made from tobacco substitutes are part of the Tobacco Product Manufacturing industry.
The company holding the most market share in Germany is Philip Morris GmbH.
The level of competition is high and increasing in the Tobacco Product Manufacturing industry in Germany.