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Retail Trade in Germany - Market Research Report (2014-2029)

Melanie Katz Melanie Katz Frankfurt, Germany Last Updated: August 2024 WZ G47.00DE

Revenue

€741.4bn

2024

€741.4bn

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

€XX.Xbn

Employees

4m

Businesses

304k

Wages

€XXX.Xbn

Retail Trade in Germany industry analysis

The situation of the retail sector in Germany is largely determined by the income of private households, the level of private consumer spending and the development of consumer prices and the economy as a whole. Over the past five years, retail sales have increased at an average annual rate of 1%, meaning that they are likely to total 741.4 billion euros in the current year. This also corresponds to a slight increase of 0.4% compared to 2023. The increase in sector turnover since 2019 is mainly due to the strong growth in online and mail order sales at the beginning of the past five-year period, which at the same time posed major challenges for brick-and-mortar retail. High rents and energy prices have placed an additional burden on bricks-and-mortar retailers in recent years and reduced the profit margins of smaller players in the sector. Brick-and-mortar retailers are increasingly being forced to improve their traditional sales concept and expand it with digital channels in order to avoid being left behind in the competition with online-only retailers.Although IBISWorld expects an increase in average net household income and consumer spending in the current year, the resulting growth in the retail sector is likely to be dampened by continued high consumer prices. Online consumer spending is also likely to increase this year, which should have a positive impact on retailers with their own online platforms as well as pure mail order and online retailers. In the next five years, falling inflation, the expected normalisation of energy and material prices and the continued rise in net household incomes should ensure growth in retail sales. Online retail is also likely to accelerate its expansion and make a significant contribution to sales growth. Turnover in the sector is expected to increase by an average of 0.9% per year and reach a value of 774.6 billion euros in 2029.

Trends and Insights

  • The consumer climate and consumer trends have a strong influence on the development of the sector.As the number of private households in Germany increases, so does the demand for consumer goods and therefore retail sales.
  • Supermarkets and discount stores account for the largest share of sales, generating around a third of total retail sales. The fact that many consumers prefer to do their shopping in these stores is due to their wide range of goods.
  • In the Central Region, North Rhine-Westphalia stands out in particular, as it has both the highest population and the highest number of retail locations.In North Rhine-Westphalia, the Rhine-Ruhr metropolitan region in particular attracts numerous retail companies.
  • The retail sector in Germany is highly fragmented and consists of small, medium-sized companies that compete intensively with each other. In the discount segment, competition is essentially based on price and the range of goods on offer.

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  • Market estimates from 2014-2029
  • Critical performance data and rankings
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Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2014-2029)

Industry revenue has grown at a CAGR of 1.0 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated €741.4bn in 2024.

Trends and Insights

Demand depends on the number of households, income and consumer spending

  • The demand for consumer goods is largely dependent on the number of households in Germany, their disposable income, the level of consumer spending, the development of consumer prices and the economic development.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Retail Trade in Germany
Revenue (2014-2029)
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry outlook (2024-2029)

Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

Growth in the retail sector is being held back by staff shortages

  • The staff shortage, which was exacerbated by the massive job cuts during the coronavirus crisis as many employees moved to other areas of the economy, is weighing on the retail sector and slowing down growth in the sector in the long term.

Biggest companies in the Retail Trade in Germany

Company
Market Share (%)
2024
Revenue (€m)
2024
Edeka-Gruppe
66,199.0
Schwarz Beteiligungs-GmbH
46,598.0
Amazon.com, Inc.
43,172.0

To view the market share and analysis for all 6 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.

Products & Services Segmentation

Retail Trade in Germany
Products & Services
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Food and luxury foods, Textiles, DIY and furnishing supplies and Medical products, orthopaedic devices and aids. Food and luxury foods is the largest segment of the Retail Trade in Germany.

Trends and Insights

The food and luxury food retail sector is dominated by supermarkets and discounters

  • The food and beverages segment includes the sale of fruit and vegetables, meat products, fish products, seafood, baked goods, confectionery and beverages. It also includes luxury foods such as tobacco products.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

Retail comprises the sale of consumer goods in retail outlets or by mail order to predominantly private consumers. The spectrum of goods on offer ranges from food, textiles and clothing to toys, electronic devices and publishing products such as books, furniture, medical products and motor fuels. This does not include wholesale and trade in motor vehicles.

What's included in this industry?

Food and luxury foodsTextiles, DIY and furnishing suppliesMedical products, orthopaedic devices and aids

Companies

Edeka-GruppeSchwarz Beteiligungs-GmbHAmazon.com, Inc.

Purchase this report to view all 6 major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

MULTICHANNEL STRATEGIESCLICK & COLLECTSHELF-LED RETAIL TRADEPOINT OF SALERADIO FREQUENCY IDENTIFICATION (RFID)SELF-CHECK-OUT SYSTEM

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

The consumer climate and consumer trends have a strong influence on the development of the sector.As the number of private households in Germany increases, so does the demand ...

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Employees, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Businesses, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Profit, including historical (2014-2024)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

Supermarkets and discount stores account for the largest share of sales, generating around a third of total retail sales. The fact that many consumers prefer to do their shop...

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2024
  • Product innovation level

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2024
  • Major market segmentation in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

In the Central Region, North Rhine-Westphalia stands out in particular, as it has both the highest population and the highest number of retail locations.In North Rhine-Westpha...

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each region
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2024

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each region in 2024
  • Number and share of revenue each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of wages each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of employees in each region in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across Europe, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

The retail sector in Germany is highly fragmented and consists of small, medium-sized companies that compete intensively with each other. In the discount segment, competition...

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2019-2024
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

The Edeka Group generates 94% of its total sales from food retailing, which is its main business. In addition to its own retail business, it also employs 3,500 independent Ed...

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2020 through 2024
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2024
  • Overview of Edeka-Gruppe's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of Schwarz Beteiligungs-GmbH's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of Amazon.com, Inc.'s performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of revenue, market share and profit margin trend for 3 additional companies

Detailed analysis

  • Description and key data for Edeka-Gruppe, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Schwarz Beteiligungs-GmbH, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Amazon.com, Inc., and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description, key data and performance trends for 3 additional companies

External Environment

Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

Analyst insights

The current increase in online consumer spending represents a threatening development for bricks-and-mortar retailers. IBISWorld expects further growth in online consumer spe...

In this chapter

  • External Drivers
  • Regulation & Policy
  • Assistance

Key metrics

  • Regulation & policy level and trend
  • Assistance level and trend

Charts

  • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 
  • Assistance historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 

Detailed analysis

  • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
  • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
  • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

Financial Benchmarks

View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

Analyst insights

The margins of the retail sectors differ greatly from one another due to the different fields of activity. Profitability is influenced by the business segments, the intensity...

In this chapter

  • Cost Structure
  • Financial Ratios
  • Key Ratios

Key metrics

  • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
  • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
  • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
  • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

Charts

  • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Investment vs. share of economy

Data tables

  • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Employee (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Establishment (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Average Wage (2014-2029)
  • Wages/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Establishments per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • IVA/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Imports/Demand (2014-2029)
  • Exports/Revenue (2014-2029)

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

Key Statistics

Industry Data

Data Tables

Including values and annual change:

  • Revenue (2014-2029)
  • IVA (2014-2029)
  • Establishments (2014-2029)
  • Enterprises (2014-2029)
  • Employment (2014-2029)
  • Exports (2014-2029)
  • Imports (2014-2029)
  • Wages (2014-2029)

Top Questions Answered

Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

What is the market size of the Retail Trade industry in Germany in 2024?

The market size of the Retail Trade industry in Germany is €741.4bn in 2024.

How many businesses are there in the Retail Trade in Germany industry in 2024?

There are 304k businesses in the Retail Trade industry in Germany, which has declined at a CAGR of 0.9 % between 2019 and 2024.

Has the Retail Trade industry in Germany grown or declined over the past 5 years?

The market size of the Retail Trade industry in Germany has been growing at a CAGR of 1.0 % between 2019 and 2024.

What is the forecast growth of the Retail Trade industry in Germany over the next 5 years?

Over the next five years, the Retail Trade industry in Germany is expected to grow.

What are the biggest companies in the Retail Trade market in Germany?

The biggest companies operating in the Retail Trade market in Germany are Edeka-Gruppe, Schwarz Beteiligungs-GmbH and Amazon.com, Inc.

What does the Retail Trade in Germany include?

Food and luxury foods and Textiles, DIY and furnishing supplies are part of the Retail Trade industry.

Which companies have the highest market share in the Retail Trade in Germany?

The company holding the most market share in Germany is Edeka-Gruppe.

How competitive is the Retail Trade industry in Germany?

The level of competition is moderate and increasing in the Retail Trade industry in Germany.

Related Industries

Widen your competitive advantage with related industries

Competitors

  • There are no industries to display.

Complementors

  • Fruit & Vegetable Wholesaling in Germany
  • Meat Wholesaling in Germany
  • Beverage Wholesaling in Germany
  • Confectionery Wholesaling in Germany
  • Grocery Wholesaling in Germany
  • Textile Wholesaling in Germany
  • Clothing & Footwear Wholesaling in Germany
  • China, Glassware & Cleaning Material Wholesaling in Germany
  • Perfume & Cosmetics Wholesaling in Germany
  • Furniture, Carpet & Lighting Wholesaling in Germany

International industries

  • Department Stores & Shopping Malls in China

View all industries in Germany

Methodology

How are IBISWorld reports created?

IBISWorld has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.

Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for IBISWorld readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of IBISWorld’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.

IBISWorld relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

What data sources do IBISWorld analysts use?

Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

Key data sources in Germany include:

  • German Federal Statistics Office (Destatis)
  • European Statistics Office (Eurostat)
  • United Nations Comtrade

Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

These sources include:

  • Industry and trade associations
  • Industry federations or regulators
  • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

Finally, IBISWorld’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

How does IBISWorld forecast its data?

IBISWorld’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.

IBISWorld prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.

Learn more about our methodology and data sourcing on the Help Center.