Fossil Fuel Electricity Generation in New Zealand - Market Research Report (2014-2029)
Melbourne, Australia
Last Updated: April 2024
ANZSIC D2611NZRevenue
$657.2m
Past 5-Year Growth
Profit
$XX.Xm
Employees
1,730
Businesses
12
Wages
$XXX.Xm
Fossil Fuel Electricity Generation in New Zealand industry analysis
Fossil fuel generators are contending with New Zealand's transition to renewable energy sources, which is continuing at pace despite a temporary surge in revenue and profitability for New Zealand's ageing fossil fuel power stations. Prices ballooned off the back of lower hydro output, outages and tight domestic gas supply. The Russia-Ukraine conflict also boosted generation costs, with coal prices soaring. Nonetheless, output at coal-fired power stations surged in 2020-21 and 2021-22, allowing the industry to drive up revenue, while high prices resulted in a spike in industrywide profitability. However, this surge proved temporary. As the supply situation stabilised, output collapsed, especially at coal-fired power stations. Prices also fell, which drove heavy declines in profit margins and revenue over the year. Overall, industry revenue is expected to decline at an annualised 8.9% over the five years through 2023-24, to $657.2 million. This includes an anticipated uptick of 9.6% in 2023-24, which is largely a product of higher prices on the wholesale market.
Trends and Insights
- Wholesale electricity prices have fluctuated on the back of a tight gas supply, high commodity prices, outages and low hydro levels. This allowed fossil-fuel electricity generators to extract a temporary surge in revenue and profitability in 2020-21 and 2021-22.
- In 2020-21 and 2021-22, coal-fired plants were used to plug supply gaps because of subdued gas and hydroelectricity generation capacity. However, as supply disruptions eased, coal power continued its long-term decline.
- Fossil fuel generation is highly concentrated on the North Island because of natural gas reserves. This gives gas-fired generators located on the North Island a natural cost advantage.
- Clean electricity sources are taking over. Fossil fuel generators must navigate New Zealand’s push for fully renewable electricity by 2030 by adapting their portfolios.
Industry Overview
Market size and recent performance (2014-2029)
Industry revenue has declined at a CAGR of 9.0 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $657.2m in 2024.
Trends and Insights
Wholesale prices have fluctuated following low rainfall and tight gas supplies
- Fossil-fuel electricity generators have cashed in on high wholesale prices. A surge in output, particularly at coal-fired plants, compounded these price rises, which led to an unprecedented jump in revenue in 2020-21 and 2021-22.
- Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Source: IBISWorld
Industry outlook (2024-2029)
Market size is projected to decline over the next five years.
Trends and Insights
New Zealand's climate target threatens fossil fuel generation
- In the December quarter of 2022 and the June quarter of 2023, renewables accounted for over 90% of electricity generated in New Zealand, indicating that full reliance on renewables isn’t far off.
Biggest companies in the Fossil Fuel Electricity Generation in New Zealand
| Company | Market Share (%)
2024 | Revenue ($m)
2024 |
|---|---|---|
Genesis Energy | 299.7 | |
Contact Energy | 168.9 |
To view the market share and analysis for all 2 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.
Products & Services Segmentation
Source: IBISWorld
Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Gas-fired electricity generation and Coal-fired electricity generation. Gas-fired electricity generation is the largest segment of the Fossil Fuel Electricity Generation in New Zealand.
Trends and Insights
Fluctuating domestic gas supply dictates gas-fired electricity generators’ output
- Gas-fired plants can be switched on or off quickly. However, gas turbines are expensive to operate due to the high cost of natural gas inputs. As a result, gas turbines are typically only activated in peak periods, when other electricity generators are unable to meet total demand.
- More insights available in the full report
Widen you competitive advantage with related industries
Competitors
- There are no industries to display.
Complementors
- Hydro-Electricity Generation in New Zealand
- Electricity Retailing in New Zealand
- Geothermal, Wind and Other Electricity Generation in New Zealand
International industries
- Coal & Natural Gas Power in the US
- Thermal Power in Canada
- Fossil Fuel Electricity Generation in Australia
- Electricity Production in the UK
- Electricity Production in Ireland
Table of Contents
About this industry
Industry definition
Industry operators use raw material inputs such as coal, gas or oil to generate electricity.
What's included in this industry?
Coal-fired electricity generationGas-fired electricity generationElectricity generation using oilCompanies
Genesis EnergyContact EnergyPurchase this report to view all 2 major companies in this industry.
Related Terms
CENTRALLY GENERATED ELECTRICITYBASELOAD POWERPEAKING POWERIndustry Code
ANZSIC 2611 - Fossil Fuel Electricity Generation in New Zealand
Performance
Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.
Analyst insights
Wholesale electricity prices have fluctuated on the back of a tight gas supply, high commodity prices, outages and low hydro levels. This allowed fossil-fuel electricity gene...
In this chapter (4)
- Current Performance
- Outlook
- Volatility
- Life Cycle
Key metrics
- Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
- Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
- Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
- Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business
Charts
- Revenue, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
- Employees, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
- Businesses, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
- Profit, including historical (2014-2024)
- Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
- Industry Life Cycle
Detailed analysis
- Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
- Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
- Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
- How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.
Products and Markets
Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.
Analyst insight
In 2020-21 and 2021-22, coal-fired plants were used to plug supply gaps because of subdued gas and hydroelectricity generation capacity. However, as supply disruptions eased,...
In this chapter
- Products & Services
- Major Markets
Key metrics
- Largest market segment and value in 2024
- Product innovation level
Charts
- Products & services segmentation in 2024
- Major market segmentation in 2024
Detailed analysis
- Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
- Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
- Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
- Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services
Geographic Breakdown
Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.
Analyst insights
Fossil fuel generation is highly concentrated on the North Island because of natural gas reserves. This gives gas-fired generators located on the North Island a natural cost ...
In this chapter (1)
- Business Locations
Charts
- Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each region
- Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2024
Tables
- Number and share of establishments in each region in 2024
- Number and share of revenue each region accounts for in 2024
- Number and share of wages each region accounts for in 2024
- Number and share of employees in each region in 2024
Detailed analysis
- Geographic spread of the industry across Asia Pacific, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
- Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage
Competitive Forces
Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.
Analyst insights
Clean electricity sources are taking over. Fossil fuel generators must navigate New Zealand’s push for fully renewable electricity by 2030 by adapting their portfolios.
In this chapter (4)
- Concentration
- Barriers to Entry
- Substitutes
- Buyer & Supplier Analysis
Key metrics
- Industry concentration level
- Industry competition level and trend
- Barriers to entry level and trend
- Substitutes level and trend
- Buyer power level and trend
- Supplier power level and trend
Charts
- Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2019-2024
- Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart
Detailed analysis
- Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
- Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
- Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
- Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
- Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
- Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
- Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
- Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
- Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.
Companies
Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.
Analyst insights
In 2020-21 and 2021-22, Genesis’s Huntly plant stepped in to keep the lights on as hydro and gas generation faltered. This reprieve proved temporary when output collapsed in ...
In this chapter
- Market Share Concentration
- Companies
- Company Spotlights
Charts
- Industry market share by company in 2020 through 2024
- Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2024
- Overview of Genesis Energy's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
- Overview of Contact Energy's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
Detailed analysis
- Description and key data for Genesis Energy, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
- Description and key data for Contact Energy, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
External Environment
Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.
Analyst insights
Generators, including fossil fuel generators, face close scrutiny from the Electricity Authority (Te Mana Hiko). The regulator manages generators largely on issues relating t...
In this chapter
- External Drivers
- Regulation & Policy
- Assistance
Key metrics
- Regulation & policy level and trend
- Assistance level and trend
Charts
- Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2014-2029)
- Assistance historical data and forecast (2014-2029)
Detailed analysis
- Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
- Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
- Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.
Financial Benchmarks
View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time.
Analyst insights
The Russia-Ukraine conflict led to a spike in coal prices, inflating coal-fired generator input costs. However, high prices on the wholesale market and opportunities to ramp ...
In this chapter
- Cost Structure
- Financial Ratios
- Key Ratios
Key metrics
- Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
- Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
- Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
- Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio
Charts
- Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
- Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
- Investment vs. share of economy
Data tables
- Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2014-2029)
- Revenue per Employee (2014-2029)
- Revenue per Enterprise (2014-2029)
- Employees per Establishment (2014-2029)
- Employees per Enterprise (2014-2029)
- Average Wage (2014-2029)
- Wages/Revenue (2014-2029)
- Establishments per Enterprise (2014-2029)
- IVA/Revenue (2014-2029)
- Imports/Demand (2014-2029)
- Exports/Revenue (2014-2029)
Detailed analysis
- Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability
Key Statistics
Industry Data
Data Tables
Including values and annual change:
- Revenue (2014-2029)
- IVA (2014-2029)
- Establishments (2014-2029)
- Enterprises (2014-2029)
- Employment (2014-2029)
- Exports (2014-2029)
- Imports (2014-2029)
- Wages (2014-2029)
Methodology
How are IBISWorld reports created?
IBISWorld has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.
Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for IBISWorld readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of IBISWorld’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.
IBISWorld relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.
What data sources do IBISWorld analysts use?
Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.
Key data sources in New Zealand include:
- Statistics New Zealand
- New Zealand Company Register
- Ministry of Business, Innovation & Employment
Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.
These sources include:
- Industry and trade associations
- Industry federations or regulators
- Major industry players annual or quarterly filings
Finally, IBISWorld’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.
How does IBISWorld forecast its data?
IBISWorld’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.
IBISWorld prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.
Learn more about our methodology and data sourcing on the Help Center.
Frequently Asked Questions
Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.
What is the market size of the Fossil Fuel Electricity Generation industry in New Zealand in 2024?
The market size of the Fossil Fuel Electricity Generation industry in New Zealand is $657.2m in 2024.
How many businesses are there in the Fossil Fuel Electricity Generation in New Zealand industry in 2024?
There are 12 businesses in the Fossil Fuel Electricity Generation industry in New Zealand, which has declined at a CAGR of 0.0 % between 2019 and 2024.
Has the Fossil Fuel Electricity Generation industry in New Zealand grown or declined over the past 5 years?
The market size of the Fossil Fuel Electricity Generation industry in New Zealand has been declining at a CAGR of 9.0 % between 2019 and 2024.
What is the forecast growth of the Fossil Fuel Electricity Generation industry in New Zealand over the next 5 years?
Over the next five years, the Fossil Fuel Electricity Generation industry in New Zealand is expected to decline.
What are the biggest companies in the Fossil Fuel Electricity Generation market in New Zealand?
The biggest companies operating in the Fossil Fuel Electricity Generation market in New Zealand are Genesis Energy and Contact Energy
What does the Fossil Fuel Electricity Generation in New Zealand include?
Coal-fired electricity generation and Gas-fired electricity generation are part of the Fossil Fuel Electricity Generation industry.
Which companies have the highest market share in the Fossil Fuel Electricity Generation in New Zealand?
The company holding the most market share in New Zealand is Genesis Energy.
How competitive is the Fossil Fuel Electricity Generation industry in New Zealand?
The level of competition is high and steady in the Fossil Fuel Electricity Generation industry in New Zealand.
