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IBISWorld forecasts the cost of natural disasters to climb by 77.0% in 2026, to $492.3 million. This increase is largely attributable to a run of costly severe weather events early in the year, with insured losses from January to April alone almost matching the total for 2025. The cost of natural disasters is highly volatile due to the randomness of catastrophic events. New Zealand is vulnerable to natural hazards due to its geographic characteristics. Sitting on the Ring of Fire subduction zone, New Zealand is situated at the intersection between two tectonic plates. This factor heightens the incidence of seismic, volcanic and hydrothermal activity. In addition, New Zealand's long coastline and lack of surrounding landmasses increase tsunami risk. The location of New Zealand within the Roaring Forties weather system also subjects the country to frequent extreme weather events, including storms and high winds.As of October 2026, the Insurance Council of New Zealand has provided costs for four natural disasters in the current year. These were severe weather events in January and February, ex-Cyclone Vaianu in April and a further severe weather event later in April, which together cost $264.8 million. Insured losses from later events, including the July flooding that prompted states of emergency in the Waitaki and Kaikoura districts, are yet to be published. In 2025, natural disasters cost $278.2 million, led by the South Island severe weather events in October, which cost $158.9 million, alongside Cyclone Tam in April, storms in late April and June and the Mangawhai Tornado in January. In 2024, natural disasters were minimal, with storms in Otago and the East Coast of the North Island accounting for $63.5 million in damages. Four natural disasters occurred in 2023. These were the Auckland floods in January, Cyclone Gabrielle in February and severe storms across the North Island in February and May. The combined cost of these events was $3,875.5 million. In 2022, the total cost of natural disasters was $357.1 million. Major disasters in 2022 included the eruption of the Hunga-Tonga-Hunga-Ha'apai volcano and tsunami in January, Cyclone Dovi in February, the North Island floods in March, the Levin Tornado in May, the North and South Island storm in June, severe storms across the country during July, the Nelson-Tasman floods and the extensive floods around the rest of the regions in August. Overall, IBISWorld forecasts the cost of natural disasters to increase at a compound annual rate of 8.7% over the five years through 2026.
Curious about what drives these trends? IBISWorld's analyst coverage on the cost of natural disasters includes detailled analysis on the current performance, outlook and industries affected.
1990-2034
This report analyses the cost of natural disasters in New Zealand. This is defined as the value of total insured losses from all declared states of emergency. Natural disasters include earthquakes, landslips, floods, severe weather events, tsunamis, and volcanic and hydrothermal activity. The data for this report is sourced from the Insurance Council of New Zealand, and is expressed in millions of nominal dollars per calendar year.
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| Industry | Country | Last 5-yr CAGR | Forecast 5-year CAGR | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| General Insurance in New Zealand |
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XX% | XX% | $XX |
| Insurance Agents & Brokers in New Zealand |
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XX% | XX% | $XX |
| Defence in New Zealand |
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XX% | XX% | $XX |
| Heavy Industry & Other Non-Building Construction in New Zealand |
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XX% | XX% | $XX |
| Waste Collection Services in New Zealand |
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XX% | XX% | $XX |
| Waste Treatment & Disposal Services in New Zealand |
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XX% | XX% | $XX |
When the stakes are high, you need intelligence that cuts through the noise—wherever you work.
The cost of natural disasters in New Zealand in 2026 was $492.3 million.
The cost of natural disasters in New Zealand grew by 8.67% in 2026.
IBISWorld’s data and analysis on cost of natural disasters in New Zealand includes forecasted growth rates over the next five years.