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IBISWorld forecasts the excise on tobacco products to increase by 6.4% in 2025-26, to total $2111.16 per kilogram. According to the Australian Taxation Office, excise rates for tobacco products have been indexed twice annually, in March and September, based on changes in Average Weekly Ordinary Time Earnings (AWOTE) since 2014. In addition to this regular indexation, the Federal Government implemented an extra annual increase of 5% to tobacco excise rates starting from 1 September 2023, with these increases scheduled to continue for three years. Growth is expected to slow in 2025-26, as these above-indexation increases conclude.These policy initiatives are intended not just to maintain the true value of tobacco excise in the face of inflation and growing wages, but also to further discourage tobacco smoking throughout Australia. By raising the price of tobacco products, the government hopes to reduce smoking rates, enhance public health outcomes, and minimise the long-term burden on the healthcare system. The increased revenue generated by these increases supports larger budgetary goals, such as funding for health initiatives and other government programmes.Regular AWOTE indexation, along with temporary 5% yearly rises, has propelled recent growth in tobacco tax income. As of March 1, 2025, Tobacco Australia reported excise-equivalent customs tax rates of $1.40 per stick for cigarettes containing no more than 0.8 grammes of tobacco and $2,158.65 per kilogramme for loose tobacco. Overall, IBISWorld expects the tobacco excise will increase at a compound annual rate of 6.0% over the five years through 2025-26.
Curious about what drives these trends? IBISWorld's analyst coverage on the excise on tobacco products includes detailled analysis on the current performance, outlook and industries affected.
1999-2032
This report analyses the excise tax on tobacco products. This includes excise taxes and customs duties on roll-your-own tobacco. Individual cigarettes containing less than 0.8 grams of tobacco are taxed at a flat rate per stick. Roll-your-own tobacco is taxed per kilogram, using an equivalisation weight that is currently set at 0.7 grams per cigarette and will reduce to 0.6 grams per cigarette by 2026, according to Tobacco Australia. The tobacco tax is set at a dollar value rather than a percentage of the sale price. The data for this report is sourced from Tobacco in Australia and is measured in current dollars per kilogram of tobacco.
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The excise on tobacco products in Australia in 2026 was 2,111.2 dollars per kilogram.
The excise on tobacco products in Australia grew by 6.01% in 2026.
IBISWorld’s data and analysis on excise on tobacco products in Australia includes forecasted growth rates over the next five years.