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Bread Production in the US - Market Research Report (2014-2029)

Arielle Rose Arielle Rose New York, United States Last Updated: September 2024 NAICS 31181

Revenue

$52.4bn

2024

$52.4bn

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

$X.Xbn

Employees

232k

Businesses

32,549

Wages

$XX.Xbn

Bread Production in the US industry analysis

Volatile input prices and numerous diverse shifts in consumer tastes have challenged bread producers, but declining revenue has not been baked into performance. Producers have adjusted their product mix to align with changing consumer preferences and decreased sales volumes in key product segments. Bread, a long-standing staple in the US diet, has been given a new look -- whole grain, multigrain, sprouted, gluten-free and low-carb. In the dessert market, producers are bringing treats with reduced sugar and fat content to the table, packed with whole grains and nutrient-rich ingredients, naturally sourced ingredients and even providing diabetic-friendly options.

Trends and Insights

  • Health-conscious Americans have become bread-averse. Producers have responded by introducing healthier alternatives in frozen, fresh and even ethnic varieties.
  • Bread varieties are consistently being reformulated. Varieties with higher levels of fiber and grain proteins are increasingly popular among consumers.
  • Key inputs drive location choices. Regions with agricultural markets attract commercial production facilities.
  • Innovation is at the heart of commercial success. Bread producers must adapt to changing consumer preferences, introducing new varieties and healthier options

Access hundreds of analysis and data

  • Market estimates from 2014-2029
  • Critical performance data and rankings
  • Detailed analysis of competitive forces and the external environment
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Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2014-2029)

Industry revenue has declined at a CAGR of 0.2 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $52.4bn in 2024.

Trends and Insights

Fluctuating input prices remain a staple

  • Wheat and other key inputs, such as sugar and dairy, have exhibited significant price fluctuations in global commodity markets. Wheat prices declined in 2019 and were followed by double-digit growth in 2020, 2021, and 2022, before falling by double digits in 2023. These changes reflect volatile agricultural conditions and economic uncertainties, making cost prediction difficult for producers.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Bread Production in the US
Revenue (2014-2029)
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry outlook (2024-2029)

Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

Consumer preferences drive changes in production

  • Healthy eating trends will continue to drive bakeries to produce items, such as flaxseed-topped loaves, multigrain rolls and ancient-grain bagels, that command a higher price than traditional types of bread. As a result, sales for white loaf bread, dinner rolls and private-label bread products will decline as consumers' demand for specialty bread grows.

Biggest companies in the Bread Production in the US

Company
Market Share (%)
2024
Revenue ($m)
2024
Profit ($m)
2024
Profit Margin (%)
2024
Flowers Foods, Inc.
5,231.2
184.6
3.5
Grupo Bimbo Sab De Cv
3,096.9
252.4
8.1
Harvest Moon Baking Company
4.1
0.2
4.9

To view the market share and analysis for all 3 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.

Products & Services Segmentation

Bread Production in the US
Products & Services
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Bread (white, wheat, rye, etc.), including frozen, Rolls, bagels and croissants and Fresh baked desserts. Bread (white, wheat, rye, etc.), including frozen is the largest segment of the Bread Production in the US.

Trends and Insights

Fresh and frozen breads see divergent trends

  • This segment includes fresh, packaged, refrigerated and frozen loaf breads. French bread, white bread and wheat bread are common varieties of bread consumed in the United States. Artisan breads are one example of a specialty variety with steadily rising market share.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

Companies in this industry manufacture fresh and frozen bread and other baked goods that include cakes, muffins and croissants but exclude cookies and crackers. Retail and commercial establishments then sell these products to downstream supermarkets, convenience stores and food-service providers. Many bakeries also sell their products directly to consumers.

What's included in this industry?

Bread (white, wheat, rye, et.c) including frozen Rolls, bagels and croissantsFresh baked dessertsFrozen cakes, pies and other frozen dessertsOther

Companies

Flowers Foods, Inc.Grupo Bimbo Sab De CvHarvest Moon Baking Company

Purchase this report to view all 3 major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

CELIAC DISEASEGLUTENPARBAKINGLEAVENING AGENTANCIENT GRAINS

Industry Code

NAICS 2017

NAICS 31181 - Bread Production in the US

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

Health-conscious Americans have become bread-averse. Producers have responded by introducing healthier alternatives in frozen, fresh and even ethnic varieties.

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Employees, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Businesses, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Profit, including historical (2014-2024)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

Bread varieties are consistently being reformulated. Varieties with higher levels of fiber and grain proteins are increasingly popular among consumers.

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets
  • International Trade

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2024
  • Product innovation level
  • Total imports, level and trend
  • Total exports, level and trend
  • Trade Balance

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2024
  • Major market segmentation in 2024
  • International trade, including imports by country and exports by country

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services
  • Recent trends in import and export volumes, country of origin or destination, and expected future trends

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

Key inputs drive location choices. Regions with agricultural markets attract commercial production facilities.

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each state
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2024

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each state in 2024
  • Number and share of revenue each state accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of wages each state accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of employees in each state in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across North America, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

Innovation is at the heart of commercial success. Bread producers must adapt to changing consumer preferences, introducing new varieties and healthier options

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2019-2024
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

Multinational companies dominate the commercial market. Grupo Bimbo and Flowers Food control nearly a quarter of the domestic market.

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2020 through 2024
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2024
  • Overview of Flowers Foods, Inc.'s performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of Grupo Bimbo Sab De Cv's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of Harvest Moon Baking Company's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Description and key data for Flowers Foods, Inc., and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Grupo Bimbo Sab De Cv, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Harvest Moon Baking Company, and factors influencing its performance in the industry

External Environment

Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

Analyst insights

Producers follow strict FDA guidelines on product labeling and content. Recalls and false content claims can prove ruinous for a producer’s reputation.

In this chapter

  • External Drivers
  • Regulation & Policy
  • Assistance

Key metrics

  • Regulation & policy level and trend
  • Assistance level and trend

Charts

  • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 
  • Assistance historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 

Detailed analysis

  • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
  • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
  • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

Financial Benchmarks

View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

Analyst insights

Input costs are difficult to predict, eating away at profit. Still, companies have largely passed down rising costs to downstream markets.

In this chapter

  • Cost Structure
  • Financial Ratios
  • Key Ratios

Key metrics

  • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
  • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
  • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
  • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

Charts

  • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Investment vs. share of economy

Data tables

  • Industry Multiples (2017-2022)
  • Industry Tax Structure (2017-2022)
  • Income Statement (2017-2022)
  • Balance Sheet (2017-2022)
  • Liquidity Ratios (2017-2022)
  • Coverage Ratios (2017-2022)
  • Leverage Ratios  (2017-2022)
  • Operating Ratios (2017-2022)
  • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Employee (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Establishment (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Average Wage (2014-2029)
  • Wages/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Establishments per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • IVA/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Imports/Demand (2014-2029)
  • Exports/Revenue (2014-2029)

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

Key Statistics

Industry Data

Data Tables

Including values and annual change:

  • Revenue (2014-2029)
  • IVA (2014-2029)
  • Establishments (2014-2029)
  • Enterprises (2014-2029)
  • Employment (2014-2029)
  • Exports (2014-2029)
  • Imports (2014-2029)
  • Wages (2014-2029)

Top Questions Answered

Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

What is the market size of the Bread Production in the US industry in United States in 2024?

The market size of the Bread Production in the US industry in United States is $52.4bn in 2024.

How many businesses are there in the Bread Production in the US industry in 2024?

There are 32,549 businesses in the Bread Production in the US industry in United States, which has grown at a CAGR of 2.7 % between 2019 and 2024.

Has the Bread Production in the US industry in United States grown or declined over the past 5 years?

The market size of the Bread Production in the US industry in United States has been declining at a CAGR of 0.2 % between 2019 and 2024.

What is the forecast growth of the Bread Production in the US industry in United States over the next 5 years?

Over the next five years, the Bread Production in the US industry in United States is expected to grow.

What are the biggest companies in the Bread Production in the US market in United States?

The biggest companies operating in the Bread Production market in United States are Flowers Foods, Inc., Grupo Bimbo Sab De Cv and Harvest Moon Baking Company

What does the Bread Production in the US in United States include?

Bread (white, wheat, rye, et.c) including frozen and Rolls, bagels and croissants are part of the Bread Production in the US industry.

Which companies have the highest market share in the Bread Production in the US in United States?

The company holding the most market share in United States is Flowers Foods, Inc..

How competitive is the Bread Production in the US industry in United States?

The level of competition is high and increasing in the Bread Production in the US industry in United States.

Related Industries

Widen your competitive advantage with related industries

Competitors

  • Cereal Production in the US
  • Cookie, Cracker & Pasta Production in the US
  • Tortilla Production in the US
  • Snack Food Production in the US

Complementors

  • Flour Milling in the US
  • Supermarkets & Grocery Stores in the US
  • Convenience Stores in the US
  • Specialty Food Stores in the US

International industries

  • Global Bakery Goods Manufacturing
  • Bread Production in Canada
  • Bread Production in Australia
  • Bread Production in New Zealand
  • Bread & Bakery Goods Production in the UK

View all industries in United States

Methodology

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What data sources do IBISWorld analysts use?

Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

Key data sources in the US include: 

  • US Census Bureau
  • US Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • US International Trade Commission

Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

These sources include:

  • Industry and trade associations
  • Industry federations or regulators
  • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

Finally, IBISWorld’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

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